How we are using polls the wrong way

Polls work really well if we use them right

Before we talk about the two elections, I want to briefly explain how polls are supposed to work, because this will become important later.

I want you to imagine that you are running a five day conference, with a thousand people in attendance. At the end of this conference, you have planned a dinner party for everyone there where you want to serve either burgers or pizza (yes, I know. This is a very fancy dinner party).

Here is the problem. How many burgers and pizzas should you buy?

Well, you can't just buy 500 of each because then many people might not be able to get what they prefer. And you also don't want to buy 1,000 of each because then you will end up with a massive amount left over.

You could ask each of the 1000 people, but that is a lot of people. So instead, you use a poll.

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